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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
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5 Reasons Why the $700B Bailout Could Translate to $250 Oil
OPEC: The Saudis Have Left the Building
Is that all there is??? Ans: Yes, and any single country in an attempt to manipulate price cannot add a single barrel!.
Spectacular finds like Brazil's not withstanding , check the stats--each year the Global production goes down, the consumption goes up--and nothing else is needed to increase prices.
To date, Alternatives are a joke and conservation a chuckle. To turn this around someone lacking lobbyists in congress will have to offer the consumer head on competition with fossil fuels.
This was supposed to happen when oil reached $30 a barrel, and made alternatives profitable. So what's afoot???
I don't know, but in the meantime either reach for your wallet or pedal!.
Oil: Does Supply and Demand Still Apply?
Can we drill "new" fields and increase production?
Ans: Yes but only if demand is willing to pay the "New" price=cost + profit!!
There is a point where "The Horse" does indeed step in.
A Supply Side Problem: Oil's High Price is Here to Stay
One other variable in the equation that bears mentioning is how oil is priced---in the almighty-(formerly) dollar.
With no change at all in supply demand with the continued devaluation of the dollar the "price" will continue to go up. However in other currencies which advance over the dollar those consumers of oil will get a break=fewer euros a barrel.
Then enters the supply/demand factor which in a declining production time frame will see prices increase for everyone, the levels each economy can bear will be the ultimate "stabilizer"...
Slow Start for Lithium-ion Hybrids
In E-cars its ampere-hours and weight. And lithium has the gold medal in both. The only drawback is initial cost--but hold on--did someone just say oil is going up!!--Again??
U.S. Oil Production Today Same as in 1948
Well anyway let's drill some more, maybe these will produce forever, and alternatives will just become a bad dream.
A short term cushioning is OK but it should take second billing to an alternative more permanent fix, electric, bio diesel etc.
If the ratio now in cars/ per-barrel produced was the same as 1948 we'd all jump for joy. Don't make too much of coincidental numbers.
Oil Prices Finally Changing Consumer Behavior
Today the world consumed 87 million barrels of oil. Where did the 2 million come from?? Reserves I guess, if so there's 2 million fewer reserves for tomorrow.
We're consuming less--very recently--in America. We've finally reached our price plateau, apparently above $4--(for the masses/average). Europe pays $6-$8 but has an offset with a strong Euro vs the dollar.
The Asians have just started a consumer spike in Oil. They don't have to drive cars, since they outnumber us 10-1, just motorizing their bicycles will do very nicely, thank you.
Everything else you read is just short term fluff and wishes.
Tomorrow there will be less than enough, that's all you need to know. If you don't replace it with something else your standard of living is going down.
Even a Politician ought to be able to connect those dots.
It's the end of July and you don't have to drive today--good, you conserved--now spend that money insulating your house or tell your favorite bar to put in Lazy Boys for January--you gotta sleep warm sometime. The choice to save on oil then is going to prove a chilly proposition.
Remember when Movie theaters had big signs outside in the Summertime with icicles hanging off them, saying cool inside-A/C!!.
Maybe next winter it'll be flames and "warm inside" HEAT!!
Oil Price Targets
1.There are three kinds of each commodity class-(of which oil is one).
a. Finite and renewable--Oil is finite-Corn renewable.
1a. With and without viable substitutes--Oil or walk--Corn or rice?.
b. Affordable and non affordable=Not how much you want it but how much your willing and have the ability to pay. The top is an A+.
c. Amount on the auction block at any point in time. You portion this out to the A+'s till there's none left. The remaining buyers go home on their bikes.
The amount of oil on the block is going down--the dollars used to buy it with are going down-(in value=takes more to buy with demand staying equal). The amount of buyers is increasing, there's just more A+'s in America than China,-BUT there's more of them at 1liter each, which raises the price on a lot of liters.
Now!! Equipped with these secret formulates you are ready to go out and dazzle the experts--in the long term.
The short term requires a course in "Twitchy Buffalo Heard" predicting.
Crude Oil Seeks Iranian Black Swan
I can remember the bay of pigs and the Cuba missile crisis, It's funny how much more we try when it's our A$$ on the line. This is not lost on Israel I'm sure.
The rest of it may rate a Dirty Duck, or you haven't seen the Iranian Navy in action--their pucker factor isn't up to closing the straights with a Carrier force looking at them.
The Mullahs are giving the orders there, and Martyrdom & Virgins are for the peons, when the going gets tough they go to Paris.
As long as we don't use ground forces, just use Bosnia tactics, a month with no electric, roads,water or food, living off the land and the Mullahs will get tossed out for trial just like Mileshnikoff (Sp)?
Even the Gas Crisis Needs a Culprit
Of course a Govt. that was happy to get $.18 on a gallon of gas a few years ago, has an absolute need and right to collect $.72 today.
This should go a long way to fund --MORE HEARINGS!!
Who's Really to Blame for High Gas Prices?
If you've bothered to listen to your fellow citizen,- not your think alike friends, just joe next to you in a bar, -and not teach--listen.
You'll notice he's not too bright and has a terrible handle on economics and especially vis a vie our planets resources.
This outlook is reenforced by all his friends, who are, I can assure you not reading at this site but laying the blame on someone else.
Collectively they outnumber the informed about 25 to 1.
Now ask yourself in our fine Democracy, who our policymakers, running for election, pander to?? Better yet, just listen to them, and you'll know why we have corn ethanol, no wind turbines or neuclear plant building and are all marching down the "Yellow brick road" to consult the wizzard!
Now let's all follow our leaders advice and "drive" over to Wal-Mart to snap up some lead painted toys and poisen cat food from the guys that killed us with tainted Heperin.
Just put it on the Credit card--no equity left in the house--the stimulus bonus will pay before the 20% kicks in!.
Whos to blame?; Take a look in the mirror!.
Crude Oil Going Parabolic: The Good News and Bad News
Anything in a permanent decline will cost more, especially in a market where the value of the currency used to purchase it is in decline for the opposite reason >the quantity of $$'s is increasing!!<.
It's not just OPEC. Anyone in possession of a dwindling commodity is a fool to sell to other that the highest bidder. Christ may turn the water to wine but the Govt. will immediately step in and tax the wine, to the point of diminishing returns, simply because they can!.
Get used to the idea that you're in an auction!.
Those who can, commute by helicopter.
The tier below go by limousine.
Care to share a limo.?
I'll drive my car thank you.
Care to share a ride?
I'll take the train, thanks.
I find riding a bike healthy.
When walking, try to work close to home.
When we smarten up and actually develop and bring to market viable -(the key word)-alternatives, then the piano will start again and all the above will stand--march--and hope for a better-read affordable chair to occupy.
P.S. Except the helicopter occupant will always stay put and not even notice the piano.
The Triple Play: Oil Addicts, The Credit Crunch and Deflation
The improved efficiency of diesel engines can also help reduce oil consumption. It should be noted, however, that it takes about 25% more oil to make a gallon of diesel fuel than a gallon of gasoline, so we should really look at how a vehicle does on fuel efficiency in terms of "oil equivalents." Thus, we need to adjust the mileage claims for diesel vehicles downward by about 20% when comparing them to gasoline-powered vehicles. There are diesel four passenger cars in Europe getting 90MPG see VW & Audi 1.2 TDI. They are not and never have been imported here--WHY???---.
What we use now is nothing but solar energy converted to plant matter by photosynthesis. That process took millions of years, the technology exists, right here right now replicate and accelerate this process to produce bio-diesel that will run a truck or fly a plane in --24--HOURS, and clean the emissions of co2 from a coal burning generator as a fuel source---ALL at the same time!!!--(see bio-diesel algae).
Just connect the dots folks the path is clear, lets stop debating the rules of the race. That's just politico-speak for how I personally can benefit.
Gold and Oil Price Limits
Bravo!
Rising Prices, Rising Crises
More refineries yes, more drilling yes even if we sell it to Japan like Alaskan oil now.
Use strategic reserves?? Iran will vote for that one.
We have entered the Alternative energy age!, it may be painful but get used to it.