redriver

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    • Wed Oct 22nd 01:15 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      When Lending Standards Really Changed
      Barry has that Obama glaze which allows him to overlook the very beginning of this mess (the socialist theory) because its impossible to ignore once its brought into plain site again:


      “Here is the article from the New York Times that was calling for Fannie Mae
      to open up the subprime market by order of the Clinton Administration.
      Maybe, all the Democrats that have had power of the congress and have been
      led around by the nose by the lobbyist from Credit Suisse and UBS should stop
      saying that the Republican trickle down theory created this mess and take
      some ownership”.

      Here is the article:
      By STEVEN A. HOLMES

      Published: September 30, 1999 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities
      and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the
      credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other
      lenders.

      The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15
      markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage
      those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is
      generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae
      officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

      Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been
      under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand
      mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure
      from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.

      In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been
      pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime
      borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are
      not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans
      from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates --
      anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional
      loans.

      ''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the
      1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines,
      Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain
      too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our
      underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying
      significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.''

      Demographic information on these borrowers is sketchy. But at least one
      study indicates that 18 percent of the loans in the subprime market went
      to black borrowers, compared to 5 per cent of loans in the conventional
      loan market.

      In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae
      is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any
      difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized
      corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a
      government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in
      the 1980's.

      ''From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another
      thrift industry growing up around us,'' said Peter Wallison a resident
      fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. ''If they fail, the
      government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up
      and bailed out the thrift industry.''

      Under Fannie Mae's pilot program, consumers who qualify can secure a
      mortgage with an interest rate one percentage point above that of a
      conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage of less than $240,000 -- a
      rate that currently averages about 7.76 per cent. If the borrower makes
      his or her monthly payments on time for two years, the one percentage
      point premium is dropped.

      Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, does not
      lend money directly to consumers. Instead, it purchases loans that banks
      make on what is called the secondary market. By expanding the type of
      loans that it will buy, Fannie Mae is hoping to spur banks to make more
      loans to people with less-than-stellar credit ratings.

      Fannie Mae officials stress that the new mortgages will be extended to
      all potential borrowers who can qualify for a mortgage. But they add
      that the move is intended in part to increase the number of minority and
      low income home owners who tend to have worse credit ratings than
      non-Hispanic whites.

      Home ownership has, in fact, exploded among minorities during the
      economic boom of the 1990's. The number of mortgages extended to
      Hispanic applicants jumped by 87.2 per cent from 1993 to 1998, according
      to Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies. During that
      same period the number of African Americans who got mortgages to buy a
      home increased by 71.9 per cent and the number of Asian Americans by
      46.3 per cent.

      In contrast, the number of non-Hispanic whites who received loans for
      homes increased by 31.2 per cent.

      Despite these gains, home ownership rates for minorities continue to lag
      behind non-Hispanic whites, in part because blacks and Hispanics in
      particular tend to have on average worse credit ratings.

      In July, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed that
      by the year 2001, 50 percent of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's portfolio
      be made up of loans to low and moderate-income borrowers. Last year, 44
      percent of the loans Fannie Mae purchased were from these groups.

      The change in policy also comes at the same time that HUD is
      investigating allegations of racial discrimination in the automated
      underwriting systems used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to determine the
      credit-worthiness of credit applicants. (End Article)

      Just google: Steven Holmes 1999 NY Times article.

      View article »
    • Thu Sep 25th 13:34 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      An Absence of Leadership
      From this day forward you and I will never believe in anything coming out of washington. We just bailed out wall street and screwed main street to the wall.

      All this to protect financials!? The normal investor has had a year to get out of financials and they did, hence the drops. The only "people" in the financials are greedy little investors/hedge funds looking for a quick fit. And they just got it by us gambling with your children's future.

      How is anyone in american government supposed to go over to a second and third world country and tell them to receive our funding you have to do as we have in creating our great nation. Free markets, joke. Limited government intervention, lie. Power to the individual versus the government, shame. Well at least we will be able to finally "fit" into the United Nations family. We are of them now.

      What country are we now? Not America. Shame on us all. Shame indeed.

      Oh by the way, did any of your representatives listen to anything you had to say on this matter? We are Fools. Looking forward to that Carter era inflation.

      We will never find leaders if we the people do not deserve them.

      Good luck.
      View article »
    • Wed Sep 17th 18:47 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      New Attack Plan: Bring Back RTC on a Grand Scale
      I believe that good research will show that the RTC actually made money for the US Taxpayers as bizarre and unbelievable as that may seem.

      There is only one way out of this mess and that's to spend our way out regardless of inflationary woes. Not that I am for any of this but when we allow ourselves through our representatives to get boxed into a corner, it is what it is. Spend a couple of Trillion on creating a new RTC or, on an infrastructure improvement plan........ either way its going to really really hurt. We got exactly what we deserved. The "Big Brain" concept highlighted by Greenspan and Ben has always been a joke. This economy is just too complicated for anyone person to understand, plan and guide.

      Hope the Chinese, Japanese and the Saudi's keep buying our paper because if they stop, its over.

      As for the really rich,there is nothing preventing them from dumping their citizenship to protect their assets from us poor suckers.
      View article »
    • Thu Sep 4th 13:52 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Residential Real Estate: How Much More Pain?
      2007 - 2012 Renter Nation?


      View article »
    • Thu Sep 4th 13:52 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Residential Real Estate: How Much More Pain?
      2007 - 2012 Renter Nation?


      View article »
    • Mon Aug 18th 13:12 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Forget $100 a Barrel - Oil Will Plummet to $30
      Thank you so much for this article. It's Monday and boy did I need a good laugh!!

      These kids are so funny. I especially like the psuedo crazed brainwashed stare in his picture. Combined with the scam artist pusher it sure was funny. Look for him on an infomercial soon.

      I guess this is one more example of what the audacity of hope breeds.
      View article »
    • Mon Jul 28th 15:38 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why Visa Should Thrive
      Mastercard = The World
      Visa Inc. = US consumers hmmmmmm.

      So as Visa grows internationally let's say in Europe, the only benefit Visa Inc. gets is some small fee percentage vs. the overall profit stream. Whereas MC when it grows its numbers worldwide, the stock benefits to a much greater degree. If I have this right, it looks like its MC. Agree that Discover and Amex will be very competitive as well.
      View article »
    • Fri Jul 25th 15:10 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil Price Targets
      When the Olympics are over we should be able to stand on the beach in La Jolla and see the plume of smoke coming from China as every major industry starts up at once. Good way to test their grid too. Demand Reconstruction.

      View article »
    • Tue Jul 8th 14:50 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Fannie and Freddie: Let’s Call the Whole Thing Off
      I don't like George Bush. I didn't vote for George Bush.
      But, "Its George Bush's Fault!!!!?????????&quo... God that's so old.

      So for a dose of the truth here's " Taking you back to school", again:

      Fannie Mae was created in 1938 as part of DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT Franklin Delano Roosevelt's SOCIALIST New Deal. (Read, The Forgotten Man) The collapse of the national housing market in the wake of the Great Depression discouraged private lenders from investing in home loans. Fannie Mae was established in order to provide local banks with federal money to finance home mortgages in an attempt to raise levels of home ownership and the availability of affordable housing.(Sounds familiar, Socialists drooling now)

      Initially, Fannie Mae operated like a national savings and loan, allowing local banks to charge low interest rates on mortgages for the benefit of the home buyer. This lead to the development of what is now known as the secondary mortgage market. Within the secondary mortgage market, companies such as Fannie Mae are able to borrow money from foreign investors at low interest rates because of the financial support that they receive from the U.S. Government. It is this ability to borrow at low rates that allows Fannie Mae to provide fixed interest rate mortgages with low down payments to home buyers. Fannie Mae makes a profit from the difference between the interest rates homeowners pay and foreign lenders charge.

      For the first thirty years following its inception, Fannie Mae held a veritable monopoly over the secondary mortgage market. In 1968, due to fiscal pressures created by the Vietnam War, DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT Lyndon B. Johnson privatized Fannie Mae in order to remove it from the national budget. At this point, Fannie Mae began operating as a GSE, generating profits for stock holders while enjoying the benefits of exemption from taxation and oversight as well as implied government backing. In order to prevent any further monopolization of the market, a second GSE known as Freddie Mac was created in 1970. Currently, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac control about 90 percent of the nation's secondary mortgage market.

      GSEs such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mae, with their combination of private enterprise and public backing have experienced a period of unprecedented financial growth over the past few decades. The current assets of these two companies combine for a total that is 45 percent greater than that of the nation's largest bank.

      On the other hand, their combined debt is equal to 46 percent of the current national debt. It is this combination of rapid growth and over leveraging that has lead to the current concerns of Congress, the Justice Department and the SEC with regards to the financial practices of these GSEs.

      Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the only two Fortune 500 companies that are not required to inform the public about any financial difficulties that they may be having. In the event that there was some sort of financial collapse within either of these companies, U.S. taxpayers could be held responsible for hundreds of billions of dollars in outstanding debts. A recent investigation by the Justice Department and the SEC into the accounting practices at Freddie Mac revealed accounting errors in the amount of 4.5 to 4.7 billion dollars and resulted in the termination of three of the company's top executives. Ongoing investigations by DEMOCRATIC CONTROLLED Congress, particular the DEMOCRATIC CONTROLLED House Finance Services subcommittee that oversees the activity of GSEs, will determine the future role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the secondary mortgage market that they dominate.

      Just the facts.

      The Obama camp can now formulate a response.
      View article »
    • Mon Jun 30th 12:51 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      U.S. Housing Market Forecast: 2008-2010
      Combine the inflationary impact with the continuation of mortgage rate escalation through 2010 and its quite a one two punch. I won't be looking for a buy signal for quite some time.
      View article »
    • Tue Jun 10th 14:37 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Nationalizing Oil: Well-Intentioned, But Wrong
      The group who makes the most money off of each gallon of gas is the US Government (15%) whereas the oil companies make an average of 4%. At $4.15/gallon thats .62 cents of "profit" per gallon. Tax free of course ;-). Seems like we've already done it. Then again, considering our "nationalized&quo... success stories like education, if we do go farther with this concept (she is a complete idiot) 15% "profit" will become 6% and the quality and availability will plummet.

      Can't wait to see that Chinese oil rig being built off the Florida coast (first of six I am told), flying the Chinese flag half way into our "protected zone".

      View article »
    • Fri May 16th 17:20 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Hoping the Housing Crisis Is Over
      Hope is more dangerous than all the world's evil combined because it prolongs man's torment.

      Zeus
      View article »
    • Fri May 9th 15:05 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The WSJ Is Wrong on the Housing Crisis
      In the past only 6% of retirees will have moved more than 50 miles away from where they raised their children. I am sure that the coming baby boomer retirement wave will increase that percentage but not by the implied amount I constantly see in these types of articles (both bull and bear stances). Also, 85% of baby boomers will need their social security benefits to make "retirement" possible. Combine that with the fact that most then will have to sell their current homes in order to purchase a new one in a different location leads me to believe that the baby boomer rescue concept is about as well conceived or thought through as the housing bailout plan. All written as if Peter Pan was the intended reader. Less is indeed the new More and they'll be sure to make it as hip as possible so that they can stomach the taste.
      View article »
    • Mon Apr 14th 14:22 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Homebuilder Bailout: An Updated Analysis
      A better summary of the coming fiasco has not been said, so I will print it again:

      "Be aware that if this provision becomes law, it will incentivize builders to dump assets at levels and prices that were previously imprudent and economically unfeasible in an attempt to reclaim cash in the form of back taxes. This will exacerbate the strain on the financial sector since it is the devalution of real assets that triggered much of this mess in the first place. Property values will drop faster, property value led defaults will accelerate, and MBS and related securities, products and pools will get hit that much faster and harder as well."

      From Reggie himself.

      My father doesn't think this will pass the house, "its pretty easy to get the senators to vote this way but its harder to get through the house since there are just so many more of those pinheads. This should work in our favor."

      TWT
      View article »
    • Fri Apr 4th 18:53 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Reverse Ripple Theory of Metropolitan Home Price Corrections
      Fall further/Bottom out first/Rebound first

      The only comps acceptable in Queen Creek are foreclosures.

      Being based in Phoenix I will agree with the "concept" (actually the reality) that the outlying areas will be the first to rebound because that is where all the big right offs have been with the recent REO's. With Speedwagon finished lot prices of 30 cents on the improvement dollars (land is free - no joke here. Ex.: If it took $1200/Front foot to build, the finished lots went for $300/front foot), this will enable at least one old time Phoenix builder who bought some of these REO's to "begin selling new homes in the valley starting from $89,900 by year-end".

      Now the really interesting phenom to watch (as mentioned) will be the reverse flow of devaluations back to the core. Flushing the toilet seems to be a good analogy. Can't wait for that calm flat water. In the mean time, its going to be very interesting.

      The other point that needs to be addressed is that a great deal of the cost increase of new home construction was not caused by the usual suspects but by the cities and towns themselves. (Seeking Alpha 2/20 article 64780) Under the umbrella of "better" "quality" "livable" they drastically raised the cost of doing business. A University of Washington Economics professor completed a study last year on this very topic and found that in Seattle the city actually was responsible for over 88% of the cost increases over the last seven years! This number is lower here in Phoenix but a large number still. Larger lots=less density=more $/unit. Front porches on entry level homes. Stucco pop-outs on rear windows behind fences. 38' wide roadways. The list goes on. For us to get back to market, everything related to the run-up must be addressed.

      Good article.

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