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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
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Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
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- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
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Latest Comments45 Comments
Why the U.S. Automakers Should Get a Bailout
I just have one question: who is going to give it to them?
The next thing after this G20 meeting this past weekend, is for the IMF
to review the accounts of the US Government, under GAAP rules.
And when they do, US Treasury debts will be reduced to junk status, as they
have deserved for some time.
And then what?
Gold Coins Are in Short Supply, So Why Doesn't Their Price Rise?
I have yet to see a good writer explore what will happen when the money supply goes down to zero. Would you care to give it a try?
Coal's Dark Days Are Over
the appalachian spin-off from Peabody,
which is now down to a price of around 14
after reaching highs of (adjusting for the split) above 80 ....
next year's earnings are still estimated at above $5/share,
this is an unbelievable opportunity for sharp investors ....
Hurricane Damage Impacts Oil Price
Its the latest repeat-ad-nauseum-and-... just in case someone was making too much noise eating potato chips and did not hear it, from our beloved media.
When, oh when, will you also report that production is down? Not just because of two hurricanes, but permanently? Forever? And its still getting worse?
Before the hurricanes, the USA production had declined another 2% for the year, or over 40% from its all time high.
Meanwhile Pemex reports that their production has now slipped another notch, now under 50% from its high five years ago.
Norway reports that its production has also slipped, to 60% of its all-time high several years ago.
Nigeria you should know about already.
And while everyone listens assiduously to every word coming out of the Saudi and other OPEC oil ministers' mouths, you seem to gently overlook what they are doing: actually reducing output and exports.
Oil is never, never going to get cheaper.
even in constant US dollars.
And as usual, you are so busy cleaning up the last mess that
you are not anticipating the next one, inevitable though it is ...
Oil Price Speculation Truth Begins to Leak into Mainstream Media
You might want to shut up for awhile and do some serious reading.
Perhaps if you move to Nashville, where they are even now experiencing the beginnings of serious, prolonged gasoline shortages, you will
have the time on your hands to do some real research.
Buried IAEA Report Could Give Oil a Big Boost
um, gee, that's pretty astute ...
On the Need for Better Auto Sales Metrics
Only someone totally absent from reality would buy any car company stock right now anyway. Besides, GM and Ford are beyond bankrupt and the only way they can stay in business is as GSE's ....
Naked Short Selling Ban
I.O.U.S.A.: Documentary Worth a Peek
In the fifties and sixties some 2/3 of non-entitlement spending went for building and repairing the infrastructure and caring for americans who could not care for themselves. Today, however, 2/3 of non-entitlement spending goes down the drain fighting losing wars, propping up petty dictators, rescuing investment houses which made very stupid bets, and harassing and spying on american citizens in the name of "security". Meanwhile the infrastructure is crumbling. We have become obsessed with money for its own sake, completely losing track of the fact that money is only paper and has no value at all, and we are either ignoring or systematically destroying all the things that do have real value, such as doing quality work for other people, doing service for other people, manufacturing beautiful and useful products, and so forth ...
A few movies and diatribes notwithstanding, the personal and governmental debt situation in the USA has already passed the crisis stage and is now guaranteed to bring down the government, its only a matter of time, and not even a lot of that ... some real pain is coming down the tracks, and a few people are going to be spanked ...
Ugly Thoughts for a Pre-PPI Monday
we learned from nominally communist societies:
price controls coupled with perennial shortages.
That's next.
Natural Gas: Clean Fuel with a Dirty Little Secret
I must presume that Brian is going behind a lot of cows and installing collection equipment. I sure hope he strikes it rich ....
Crude Oil: How Far Will It Fall?
kinda remind me of the gypsies who used to tell your fortune
by looking at tea leaves or the lines on your hand.
Party is over. Oil is selling at the lowest point you will ever see again, and the DOW is at the highest point you will ever see again.
Its fundamental, my dear Watson ....
Default Risk of U.S. Automaker Debt: Too Big to Fail?
is the Us government itself "too big to fail"?
Who out there believes that the US government has the honest intent to pay off its debt, now $10 trillion and growing, as well as to honor the coming deficits in social security and medicare, as well as to honor its loan guarantees for Fannie and Freddy (which are probably $100 billion underwater already by GAAP rules and still getting deeper as the housing collapse worsens).
Who still wants to loan the government more money,
and throw good value to chase what's been lost already?
How much longer can this go on?
Reviving the 'American Dream': More Subsidies Needed?
Everyone Wants the Commodity Bubble To Be Pricked
seldom ever mentioned,
is the population "bubble".
More and more people on earth chasing fewer and fewer resources.
If all the people who believe that prices will go down
would simply kill themselves right now,
then prices would go down.
But that's the only way ...