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    • Fri Aug 15th 22:16 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Five Forces Driving the Euro Down
      forgot to mention OIL prices do not explain the dollar rise, it is the opposite. Recall OIL is a commodity denominated in $...

      Reasons 1 & 2 are also mute.
      View article »
    • Fri Aug 15th 21:46 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Five Forces Driving the Euro Down
      The first 2 reasons, OIL prices + US Data, were summarized by OIL price declines. The Fed Fund Rate reason is mute, the banks still need low rates, so it is not going to happen anytime soon. The last reason, dollar bullish, is a technical indicator and could turn overnight. With the exception of the 3d reason, eurozone data, I don't see any real drivers for the dollar. How is the contraction worse in the eurozone would be what I like to learn about. Please comment.
      View article »
    • Sun May 11th 00:43 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is Oil Bubbling Over?
      like to add some supporting material

      news.nationalgeographi...

      oil carries a cost.
      View article »
    • Sun May 11th 00:08 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is Oil Bubbling Over?
      amazing the various point of views on the same subject. I think the conception is 2 billion people are going to consume more oil. The US and the world is already complaining about global warming. If the prediction does happen, the concern is not oil, it would be the planet. Therefore the same drivers that motivate higher consumption are the ones that will cause it to decelerate. I think the future looks more urban than an 8-lane highway. For the rest, alternatives will become viable as oil goes up. In the end, stability is reached with oil occupying a much smaller piece of pie.

      In the short term, oil most likely would decline due to global economic slowdown. This slowdown should include india and china. I agree with the prediction oil will be back at 70 by next summer. I don't know if the summer is going to be a prosperous time though, I doubt it.
      View article »
    • Thu May 1st 22:59 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Financial Markets: An Apology
      this by far should take any credibility you may have had out the window.
      Good job! Last article I read from you for sure...
      View article »
    • Sat Apr 19th 11:56 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      U.S. Dollar Rallies On U.S. Corporate Earnings
      Philly, if the trader dollars come back to the US, that would imply a dollar selloff. I fail to see the argument for a strong dollar... Could you explain?

      I think a strong dollar would impact OIL and commodities prices.
      View article »
    • Thu Apr 10th 21:11 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives?
      Mose, I mention I set my stops earlier... well, I got booted this morning, was probably first to go. I am done with MACROSHARES now, never trade them again... they don't plan to be around long so they simply are bad investments.
      View article »
    • Thu Apr 10th 00:37 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives?
      thanks Mose! Great information.

      Even if we hit 3 consecutive days of 111, chances are OIL would pull back from here till june. Still OK for me if I get (120-100)/3, better yet if OIL closes at 90!

      If DCR moves to 10, I am selling and saying farewell.

      I don't do options, never have. However, I could consider buying some UCR to hedge against DCR. Righjt now, I have set some stops.

      thanks again!
      View article »
    • Wed Apr 9th 23:57 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives?
      Mose, my point is if such a clause exists or not? Never mind the 90 figure.

      From what I understand now, reading more blogs, if DCR seizes to exist so would UCR. The clause of 111 oil for 3 consecutive days only applies to DCR.
      Do shareholders of UCR know about this?
      View article »
    • Wed Apr 9th 23:34 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives?
      I think this 3 consecutive day story is hard to digest.

      biz.yahoo.com/e/080228...

      according to the above, UCR and DCR exist together as one entity.
      If DCR seizes to exist, what happens to UCR then?

      Is there any clause on UCR, if OIL stays below 90 for 3 consecutive days?

      What an ETF this was! I hope no clauses exist in this thing.
      View article »
    • Mon Apr 7th 22:52 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      US and Asia Still in for a Downturn
      great article! I think a lot of bloggers have mentioned this information in various texts. Nice to see it all in one, a complete view of the issues.
      I have doubts the OIL and commodities would keep rising though due to slower demand. I just read an article saying demand in the us for OIL has slowed down since a year ago, and the reserves are at the highest levels since 1990. Since I only know what others report, it is hard for me to be cartain one way or the other. Here is the article I mentioned

      www.moneynews.com/mone...

      any comments on the validity of the above article?

      thanks.
      View article »
    • Fri Mar 28th 23:32 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Has Wall Street Lost Its Edge?
      Great article. Thanks
      View article »
    • Sun Nov 11th 00:19 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Consumer Sentiment Hits ‘Danger Zone’
      If 1M subprime loans have been extended, and say associate 3 people to each subprime loan on average, there are 3M affected individuals in total. This is 1% of the population of 300M strong.The impact to GDP is going to be minimal anyways as a result...

      Some of us should learn to change their lifestyle and be more cautious in the future in aquiring debt. These include some of the financial instruments...

      1M subprime loans at an average cost of 250k per loan translates to 250B in bad loans to default over the course of 2 years or so. This is a drop in the bucket in relation to a GDP of $13 trillion. The 1M subprime properties have fallen by 3% or so in value from a year ago. Take 25% off and they may very well fly off the shelf. A 25% of 250B is 62.5B in losses. Subprime does not mean total loss, there is equity here (land, buildings etc..).

      For the OIL, at roughly 100$/barrel, the price at the pump in my neighborhood is around $3/gallon. I guess it may go higher/lower, nobody knows, however at the current level I believe we should be fine. I recall not long ago similar commentaries were made when oil reached $50/b, and the consumer held up very well. Same thing is going to happen this time around. Keep in mind the price per gallon in europe has been much higher than in the US for several years. France I believe priced oil at $5/gallon many years ago. People drive economy vehicles, use public transportation more, and the economy moves along.

      I think the article here is not objective. It tosses a lot of buzz words around like DANGER ZONE, capped too. It caught my attention, probably several others.. however I think attention is where I stop.

      The market will rebound again as of next week.
      View article »
    • Wed Aug 22nd 23:25 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Will the Stock Market Coast Through the Storm?
      the article is very good. I also liked the humor.. Thank you! :-)
      View article »
    • Wed Aug 22nd 22:29 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Will the Stock Market Coast Through the Storm?
      very funny conclusion. Started off talking about SIX as a great experience, ended up wanting to short it...
      LOL
      View article »
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