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akapital
80 Comments
IEA Report Predicts Oil Supply Crunch
I am looking at CNQ, PBR, XOM, and RIO as far as traditional oil which we still have a long way to go before weaning ourselves off.
As far as alts, I like VRNM for cellulose ethanol, BCON for grid technology, and too many solar stocks to mention.
But indeed, you have to brave to buy now...but I think energy is the safest bet. No matter what happens almost everything depends on energy!
A Capitalist Reformation
What many people faill to realize is that Marx' was not a critic of capitalism per se. He only saw it's hisotical limits/finitude and that it would eventually exhaust itself. It is the economic precedent to socialism because without an industrial revolution under capitalism there would be productivity or excess capital (just as feudal agrarian societies were precedent to industrial capitalism). China and Russia were not ideal environments for socialism/capitalism because they did not fully mature as industrialized capitalist countries before adopting socialist policies.
America and Europe are ideal mature economies that can progress. Looking at the scandanavian model is a promising indicator.
Also, another commonly misunderstood principal of socialism is that everyone will be wearing the same uniform (as if we don't already all wear Gap and Brooks Brothers) and equal in everyway. In fact, in theory it is quite the opposite. it is step in economic maturity towards creativity of individuals...each according to his ability...but nobody bothers to read through the literature and I am sure this article will elicit the typical "pinko" comments...from the apes who have not evolved yet.
Regulations and Markets: Making a Bad Situation Worse
I agree that we need balance policy and not pendulum swings from no regulation to over regulation but there are real lessons to be learned from recent events and many of them point to some basic regulation that protects companies and shareholders from themselves.
Corn and Its Industry: The Next Tobacco
In short, socialism has nothing to do with equitable distribution. Neither does communism. This is a very common misunderstanding propogated by those who create strawmen arguments against socialism and communism.
It has to do society or gov't sharing ownership or share of control. But it does not mean that every person has equal share or control. In fact, a common mantra of socialism/communism is to each "From each according to his ability, to each according to his need."
Marx delineated the specific conditions under which such a creed would be applicable - a society where technology and social organization had substantially eliminated the need for physical labor in the production of things, where "labor has become not only a means of life but life's prime want." Marx explained his belief that, in such a society, each person would be motivated to work for the good of society despite the absence of a social mechanism compelling them to work, because work would have become a pleasurable and creative activity. Marx intended the initial part of his slogan, "from each according to his ability" to suggest not merely that each person should work as hard as they can, but that each person should best develop their particular talents.
And in closing, just because I want to use an informed definition of socialism does not mean that I am a proponent. But I am a proponent of using proper definitions.
Corn and Its Industry: The Next Tobacco
Corn and Its Industry: The Next Tobacco
That said, there are still lots of good uses of corn...they're making lots of biodegradeable stuff out of it now....
Impending Inflation? The Global 'New Deal' All but Guarantees It
So if we do truly have a sort of Global New Deal where gov'ts start spending I think that will indeed get to the consumer sooner rather than later and spur growth and perhaps inflation.
There are many large scale initiatives that many would argue global gov'ts need to invest in now:
1. Improve Water treatment, clean water preservation
2. Clean coal technologies
3. upgrade grid technology
4. alternative energy developments
5. public schools & public hospitals
6. highways and bridges
The Right Way to Encourage Home Ownership
I believe that this is imminent. The gov't has no responsibility to keep home prices high, in fact it is irresponsible to try and keep prices high. Current, past, and future policies to subsidizing mortgages or the mortgage industry or facilitating loans, etc. only puts off the inevitable, home prices are not sustainable. The current real estate bubble was sustained by overborrowing and almost everybody was doing it. This in turn inflated prices. But what if so many people were not willing to borrow to pay for a house? What if so many people were not willing to borrow to pay for college, a car, etc? Don't you think that prices would be lower?
Was 'Peak Oil' a Multi-Billion Dollar Hoax?
Some other thigns to consider:
1. Reserves by themselves do not preclude the peak oil theory. In fact, quite the contrary; if certain countries are effectively 'leaving oil in the ground' for prosperity or contingency that is a real price factor (a real supply factor).
2. The geo-political cost of oil is also a very real one that factors into price. The fact that there may be 200 year supply in the ground is vague. Is it accessible? At what cost? Environmental, political, etc.
3. Speculation and uncertainty are also very real price/supply factors. If our primary energy source was solar we would be tracking weather, clouds, etc. and speculating the minutia and exigencies of available sunlight.
Crude Prices Plunge - UltraShort ETF Positioned for Profits
nearing $70 a barrel supply destruction will begin to kick in (e.g. OPEC will curb production).
oil shorts are way in the money and likely to take some profits
Demand in emerging markets (less susceptible to current crisis) will continue to rise
Winter is imminent in the Western Hemisphere
Peak Oil?
We shall see...
High U.S. Corporate Taxes Are a Myth
Many argue that these businesses would not operate in the U.S. if they had to pay higher taxes but important point here is that if you look at the alternatives (e.g. taxes in other countries) I think you would see even higher taxes. I would welcome some hard numbers here but I think U.S. corporate taxes are far less than most other countries. I agree they need to contribute more, if they did they would certainly benefit more in the long run....but no one is in it for the long run.
Chasing Unicorns: The Cycle Gods Are Still Playing with Us Mere Mortals
Your analogy also reminds me of the Black Swan metaphor as espoused in a recent book by the same name. The gist of it is, prior experience is not an indicator of future experience. The Black Swan was oft used in ancient greek logic (Aristotle) as an example of an existential universal (No swans are black) proven to be false when the geographical horizon of experience revealed there to be black swans in Australia.
In short, we must avail ourselves of disparate methods of knowledge as experience teaches us that experience is fallible...
State Capitalism: Ideology Now Bonds Russia, U.S.
Roger Wiegand: Oil to Reach New Highs by Year-End
On a Return to Normalcy: Dow 8,500